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Citi Research: Nightmare on Commodity Street
Thousands of very smart speculators have accumulated the biggest ever speculative physical raw material positions ever witnessed in the belief that either the dollar will collapse or an ongoing global ‘Supercycle’ will shake off the effects of the credit crunch and resume business as usual. They are funded in this venture by some of the lowest interest rates on record. What are the threats to their thesis?. They are as follows :
Submitted by
tschuma417
11/23/2009
HyperLink play it email it
tschuma417
11/23/2009
tschuma417 is playing it
Long9.96%
Short8.22%
Short5.98%
Short6.71%
Short1.23%
I am playing this headline with (JJM DJP JJN DBB BOM) because If these threats come to pass, we will truly have a ‘Nightmare on Commodity Street’. The commodity space could resemble ‘Sub-Prime II’ and would demonstrate that investors never learned anything from the shock waves that descended on global investment in 2H 08.
 
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