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Deep down, even the fiercest equity bulls must be doubting themselves
We have just had the worst decade’s performance for equity investors on record. Relative to government bonds, equities have been an even bigger disaster. Surely after such a terrible decade for equity investors things can only get better?
Submitted by
tschuma417
12/1/2009
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tschuma417
12/1/2009
tschuma417 is playing it
Long2.66%
Long8.41%
Short1.04%
Long4.99%
I am playing this headline with (SPY SDS TENZ GLD) because Government bonds are now an extremely poor investment. On a 10-year view, the insolvency of government finances will surely end in substantially higher inflation. Yet on a 1-2 year view, we believe the key threat remains deflation. Markets will react aggressively to this as the cycle stalls in 2010. Expect sub-2% bond yields to accompany new lows on the equity market next year. Thinking the unthinkable has paid off over the last decade and should continue to do so.
 
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